College Football Betting

Now for this weeks upset i truly wanted to go with UL Laffayette over Arkansas State. Instead I’ve gone with a game that has more hype, Washington VS USC, @ Los Angeles, CA.

Im going with the Huskies to beat USC. I know what your thinking….. Has El Jugador lost the plot???

USC does poses that dynamic duo on offense, Mr Southern California Matt Barkley & WR Robert Woods, The Doc has told you enough about these 2 and the star on D, TJ McDonald.

So i will tell you why im liking this plucky UW side to have a win in the sunny city of Angles. QB Keith Price, As i have stated previously, this slick cat has easily replaced Jake Locker.

Price has stared for the upstart huskies putting up 2133 yards while completing them at 66.8%.Add in the 25TD’s against 10 INT’s. This man is a cool as a cucumber. Now for the skill positions:

RB Chris Polk: Possibly the 2nd best runner in the pac12. Polk has got to another 1k season racking up 1096 so far. Add in 9 TD’s and a healthy average of 5.3 per carry, he keeps opposing D’s in check.

The recieving crew are lead by 2 seniors in Devin Aguilar & Jermaine Kearse, the 3rd WR is junior James Johnson. Of the 3 no one has really jumped out to become the number 1 target, rather just a group effort.Combining to have 90 cathes 1210 yards & 12 TD’s. As a group that is top notch. But who has really impressed me is the true fresh TE, Austin Seferian-Jenkins.

This big kid stands at 6-6 258lbs. That is a BIG target for Price to hit over the middle. He is also productive having 22 receptions 329 yards & 4 TD’s.Where im worried is the UW D. Giving up 33.4ppg, USC is scoring at 33.4ppg. Im not sure thats a good sign.Currently they lack a true pass rusher with the team leader only having 2 at the momment.

But they do make they big plays having 8 INT’s & forcing 9 fumbles, recovering all of them!!!!

If the team can keep that Johnie Walker Blue smooth Mat Barkley in check.

UW is good enough on offense to out score the Trojans. It’s can they score enough?The other “stat” that i like is UW has won the following week after a loss.

Over good sides as well, so after a good effort in their last loss to Oregon,I do see Washington bouncing back with a 37 – 31 win.

 

- El Jugador

Agency	Washington
Sports Bet	$4.50
TAB WA	$4.30
TAB Vic NSW	Not Released
Bet Fair	1.16
	10:30am EST

TCU @ Boise

Now normally I would ride out my National Championship prediction to the end. However, I am confident of Oklahoma State winning out and playing LSU for the National Championship so it’s time to go with my heart and pick the frogs.

Why you may ask? Well Boise is known for being a choke artists they can never win the big one when it counts. Can anyone roll back the tape of last year when their kicker blew shot after shot against Nevada.

Boise are expected to win this game and do have the better team on paper overall but were they fall down is their defence.

In the first podcast I made it well known that for Boise to improve they have to get better on defence and quite frankly they have not.

Boise State, Defensive Lineman, Chase Baker “We’re a lot more focused this week than we have been in the past weeks, “ he said.

What. So the last few weeks when you let UNLV put up 21 against you and 26 against Air Force you weren’t concentrating. Well it shows young man, and it also shows how weak your defence has been.

This is a concerning sign for the ‘chokers’ formally known as Boise with the running machine of  Wesley, Tucker, James and Brown. I predict them to run 300+ over an average Boise defence.  James and Tucker have already combined for a 1 200 yards and 13 TDs. Need I remind you of the dangerous ‘Wild Frog’ TCU implements in the goal line with back up QB Brown.

Hopefully Paschal will not be used as much because his throwing this season has been OK, but no Andy Dalton experience. Paschal is the weakness in this TCU offence, but it is not skill related, more that the QB needs to grow up. Therefore, TCU needs an early lead so we can be front runners, as you have seen we cannot win from behind i.e. Baylor and SMU.

If Paschal can just manage the game and let the running game do the bulk of the work it will keep the ball out of the dangerous hands of Kellen Moore.

Once Kellen Moore does have the ball, expect TCU to play a version of defence which allows more DBs on the field to confuse the magnificent QB.

This can be more problematic with news of Doug Martin not being able to play, even if he does play he is most likely going to be underdone so it gives another edge for TCU to rush the pass.

Look for their stud linebackers Brock and Carder to search for sacks and continue to apply pressure to Moore.

TCU has won their last four games and even though at times have looked extremely inconsistent I see them putting up enough points to win the game and keep Boise out of the hunt for the National Championship.

 

TCU 31 Boise 28

Agency	TCU
Sports Bet	$5.90
TAB WA	$5.50
TAB Vic NSW	Not Released
Bet Fair	1.16
	10:30am EST