Week 12 Upsets

Texas v Kansas State

 It looks like another Big 12 week, with the injury prone Horns facing the up and coming Wildcats.

I like Kansas State to come away with the win, even though they are playing against Texas a team which has more of a reputation than Dr College Football in picking upsets.

This is why I am picking Kansas State – because Texas are so injured at running back that even I am contemplating strapping on the boots and playing this weekend.

David Ash is also shaky but expected to start this game after coming off in the third quarter against Mizzou last week.

Whether that was because of  injury or being benched both are a concerning point. He was ‘removed’ so college football betting is guessing benched. Another concerning sign for Texas because they still don’t know who to play at quarterback.

Now for K State aka Collin Klein aka Calvin Klein a friend of college football betting (though he doesn’t know it yet). Last week this mans man proved that he was not just big in stature but in leadership as well. He single handedly carried the team across the line against Texas A&M to prove me (Dr CFB) wrong when I said they would loose their next 3 games. Last year Klein racked up 127 yards rushing and two touchdowns against the Horns and Kansas State also have the wood over Texas as of late.

HOWEVER, STATS about last year are for losers. Yes the Texas running game is in shambles with injury. What my main points are is the RB corps of Whitaker out for the season and Brown and Beregon uncertain for this week.  Shipley their best wide out also appears to be out for this week.

Therefore, even though I do not think K State could match it with Texas on a full squad I still feel they can beat a spare parts team on offense.

El Jugador has obviously highlighted before that their is no stars on the K State defense, though with Texas playmakers being injured I see them only putting up at best 20 points.

The only way Texas can win this game is if they have enough athletes on offence to pull out some big plays and I highly doubt that.

K State 34 Texas 20

Will remain fairly close but they should pull it out.

 

Agency Kansas State
Sports Bet $3.75
TAB WA  $2.35
TAB Vic NSW Not Released
Bet Fair 1.04
   10:30 am EST

5 Oklahoma vs #22 Baylor @ Waco,TX

 Well it easy to point out why OU could win & easily. QB Landry Jones, WR Ryan Broyles & RB Dominque Whaley. Slow down, both Broyles & Whaley are now out for the season!

Landry Jones and the offense is great, not good. But can they lose these 2 stud playmakers & survive??? Statistaclly they are still looking good! Averaging 45.4ppg while gaining 545 ypg…… But that was at near full strength.

The OU D is very strong, that’s no surpirse. They are only giving up 19.8ppg. They are still jammed pack with NFL talent, luckily they havent lost any of them… yet? LB Travis Lewis leads the D both statistacly & emotinonly, leading with 61 tackles.

Throw in Sack master Fran Alexander who has 7.5 so far, 13.5 tackles for a loss in total. Then the ballhawking duo of Javon Harris & Tony Jefferson, these to DB’s have 7 INT combined. As stated, The Sooners D is still as stout and solid as always.

Now for the RG3 Bears. I mean the Baylor Bears. Robert Griffin the 3rd.This slick cat is why college football is so exciting!

I do believe if i got into college as a QB, this is exactly how i’d play the QB position. the redshirt JR is putting up some impressive numbers: 3093 passing & 489 rushing yards. He also has put up 34 total TD’s with only 5 picks. Absolute Star! As for his playmakers, there is 2 that jump out: RB Terrance Ganaway & WR Kendall Wright.

Wright is on an absolute tear, already with 1073 yards 9TD’s on 81 catches, big time target for RG3. Then Gannaway is the big horse at RB. A transfer from Houston, Gannaway has helped make the offense dynamic. 889 yards rushing with 10 TD’s proves it! He makes the opposing D respect his skills opening things up for RG3.

They also have solid contributions from the other recievers in Tevin Reese & Terrance Williams. Reese has 40/707/6 while Williams is third fiddle with 41/658/8. Thats spreading it out! As a team they are putting up 40.3ppg with 569.1 ypg. Pretty similar to OU i’d say. Plus i believe that the Baylor offense is more balanced with a better running game.

What does scare me off BU is the D, is hardly stout giving up 36ppg. Not good against this OU team.

They have no true star, let alone game changer. if there is a “player of note” its safety Mike Hicks. His first year as a starter, the junior is leading the team with 70 tackles, 2.5 for loss & 3 picks. Yet as a team they put on some descent pressure, 14 sacks, 9 INT’s & 6 forced fumbles. If they can get REAL pressure on Landry Jones, it will help imensley!

Here is a stat that is just hard to ignore: Okalhoma is 20 and 0 against Baylor. Seems like a “safe bet” picking OU

But with that in mind, i am going with Baylor, WINNING 45 – 35. I see another OU let down.. Plus Baylor has plenty to play for while i believe OU is no longer in the BCS champ race, they may just fall flat. Especially with the injuries, Baylor has the chance to outscore them. Which they MUST DO TO WIN!

Crazy??? i might just be….

- El Jugador

 

Agency Baylor
Sports Bet $6.80
TAB WA  $5.90
TAB Vic NSW Not Released
Bet Fair $3.00
   10:30 am EST

 

 

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